February 16th, 2007at 04:07pm Christian Sarkar
One Billion New Automobiles!
Bill Jackson and Vikas Sehgal from Booz Allen Hamilton warn executives in the ailing auto industry about emerging trends which will change their future:
1) Social mobility: for the first time residents of remote villages in India and China will be able to reach urban centers in a half-day’s travel
2) Environmental Impact: Manufacturers in India and China will likely develop indigenous technologies at lower cost, making the cars more affordable but still meeting emission norms (they will lag behind Western emission standards by a couple of years, but this will be a competitive advantage!).
3) The Expanding Lower-End Market: The requirements in China and India are far different from the West. Take the $4,500 Maruti Alto, for example.
4) The Learning Model in Emerging Markets: The basic vehicle model of the emerging economies could be adapted for other nations, offering fuel efficiency and unprecedented low prices, with a few extra tweaks like the additional safety features that established markets require. China and India are honing their products in the Middle East, Africa, and Eastern Europe.
Jackson and Sehgal warn:
“Recent history suggests that many Western automakers will fail to respond effectively. U.S. manufacturers have focused on large cars and trucks, and European car companies have focused on performance. Both groups have thus missed opportunities to develop economical cars with high fuel efficiency and the selling point of reducing dependence on foreign oil.
“If all the current automotive trends accelerate, many companies will see their value chains overhauled, not just in the auto industry but in every sector. Nations around the world will suffer the consequences of increased pollution and greater global competition for fuel. And the automobile as a product will be transformed. Those manufacturers and suppliers that start planning now for a new wave of upstart competition will be the most likely to thrive in the next automotive environment.”
What will Ford and Chrysler do?
Download the article here >>
For those of you who think this is simply an issue for the auto industry, think again. The $100 PC is here, Dell.